NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 17, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Batchelor | 18 | 24 | 66.7% | 1 | 30.1 | 2 |
| 2 | Nick Boucher | 17 | 23 | 60.7% | 2 | 31.9 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Moeller | 17 | 22 | 58.6% | 3 | 28.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 14 | 23 | 50.0% | 4 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 5 | Karl Loiseau | 13 | 24 | 48.1% | 5 | 26.2 | 4 |
| 5 | Mike Thorne | 13 | 22 | 44.8% | 6 | 23.8 | 7 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 12 | 23 | 42.9% | 8 | 24.8 | 5 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 12 | 24 | 44.4% | 7 | 22.2 | 8 |
| 7 | Luke Phelan | 12 | 22 | 41.4% | 9 | 21.6 | 9 |
| 10 | Gavin Gray | 11 | 23 | 39.3% | 10 | 21.0 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| New York Giants | 7 | 10.2 | DET | 0.62 |
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 12.0 | CLE | 0.77 |
| New England Patriots | 5 | 7.9 | NYJ | 0.64 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 12.9 | DAL | 0.43 |
| Washington Commanders | 5 | 8.1 | @ HOU | 0.59 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 7.5 | SF | 0.24 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 13.6 | @ IND | 0.79 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 11.8 | CAR | 0.86 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 6.5 | BYE | |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tennessee Titans | 6 | 9.4 | @ GB | 0.41 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 8.9 | BYE | |
| Detroit Lions | 3 | 5.7 | @ NYG | 0.38 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 9.0 | KC | 0.27 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 10.3 | ’@ ARI | 0.76 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 6.9 | @ BUF | 0.23 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 11.6 | @ MIN | 0.57 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 6.9 | PHI | 0.21 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 5.3 | @ BAL | 0.14 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 6 | 10.1 | @ NE | 0.36 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 5.7 | LV | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 6.4 | @ NO | 0.41 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 10.9 | BYE | |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 7.6 | TEN | 0.59 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 3.1 | WAS | 0.41 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 13.4 | @ LAC | 0.73 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 5.3 | @ ATL | 0.39 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 6.1 | @ DEN | 0.41 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 9.6 | @ PIT | 0.66 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 6.0 | LAR | 0.59 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 5.4 | CIN | 0.34 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| New England Patriots | 5 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 7 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 10 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 5 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Detroit Lions | 3 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 8 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 21 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 14 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 16 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 13 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| New York Jets | 6 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 13 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 26 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 19 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
Draft Results
